|
256,000 Jobs in Dec; Unemployment Dips 01/10 07:53
WASHINGTON (AP) -- U.S. hiring picked up unexpectedly in December as
employers added 256,000 jobs, another sign of the economy's resilience in the
face of high interest rates.
The Labor Department reported Friday that job growth was up last month from
212,000 in November.
For all of 2024, the economy added 2.2 million jobs, a solid number but down
from 3 million in 2023, 4.5 million in 2022 and a record 6.4 million in 2021 as
the economy bounded back from massive pandemic layoffs.
The monthly numbers beat forecasters' expectation of around 155,000 new jobs
and 4.2% unemployment. Healthcare and government jobs led the December increase.
Labor Department revisions shaved 8,000 jobs from October and November
payrolls.
Average hourly wages rose 0.3% from November and 3.9% from a year earlier.
The year-over-year wage gain was slightly less than economists had forecast.
Getting a clear view of the U.S. job market hasn't been easy the past few
months.
Hurricanes and a big strike at Boeing threw off the October jobs numbers,
pushing them down and setting up a payback rebound in November that likely
exaggerated the strength of hiring.
The December jobs numbers delivered a clearer reading of where things stand.
Over the past few years, the economy and the job market have shown
surprising resilience. Responding to inflation that hit a four-decade high two
and a half years ago, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate -- the fed
funds rate -- 11 times in 2022 and 2023, taking it to the highest level in more
than two decades.
The higher borrowing costs were widely expected to cause a recession but
didn't. Companies kept hiring, consumers kept spending, and the economy kept
rolling along. In fact, U.S. gross domestic product -- the nation's output of
goods and services -- has expanded at a robust annual pace of 3% or more in
four of the last five quarters.
American workers enjoy unusual job security. Layoffs are running below the
pre-pandemic trend. On Thursday, the Labor Department reported that just
211,000 people applied for unemployment benefits last week, the fewest in
nearly a year.
Inflation has come down, too, from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 2.7% in
November. The drop in year-over-year price increases gave the Fed enough
confidence to cut rates three times in the last four months of 2024.
But Fed officials signaled at their December meeting that they planned to be
more cautious about rate cuts this year. They now project just two rate
reductions in 2025, down from the four they envisioned back in September.
Progress against inflation has stalled in recent months, and it remains stuck
above the Fed's 2% target.
Friday's job report is expected to show that average hourly wages rose 0.3%
last month from November and 4% from December 2023, according to the FactSet
survey. The Fed sometimes frets that wage gains will fuel inflation as
companies try to pass along higher labor costs to customers by raising prices.
But Nancy Vanden Houten, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, said in a
commentary that current wage growth is consistent with the Fed's inflation
goals. That is partly because strong gains in U.S. productivity allow companies
to pay their workers more and earn fatter profits without having to raise
prices. "Earnings growth won't give the Fed any headaches," Vanden Houten wrote.
|
|